DO REMITANCES REDUCE POVERTY IN INDONESIA? AUTOREGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTION LAG APPROACH
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Keywords:
Poverty, Remittances, Gross Domestic Product, Unemployment Rate, Economic Crisis
Abstract
One of the problems often faced in achieving community welfare is poverty. This study aims to analyze the effect of Remittances, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Unemployment Rate, and Economic Crisis on poverty in Indonesia 1990-2022. The analysis method used is explanatory research with a quantitative approach regression analysis method using the Autoregressive Distribution Lag (ARDL) estimation tool. The data used is secondary data in the form of time series data from 1990 to 2022. Based on the conditional Error Correction Model (ECM) test, Remittances have a negative but insignificant influence in the long run and short run. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has a negative and significant influence in the short run. However, in the long run GDP has a negative and insignificant influence. The unemployment rate has a positive and significant influence in the long run. However, in the short term the unemployment rate has a negative and insignificant effect. Economic crisis has a positive and significant effect in the long term. However, in the short term the economic crisis has no effect on poverty in Indonesia.
References
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Purnomo, S. D. (2021). Analysis of Labor Absorption in Central Java Province. Ekonomis: Journal of Economics and Business, 5(1), 240. https://doi.org/10.33087/ekonomis.v5i1.311
Rachman, S. N., Suharno, S., & Badriah, L. S. (2020). The Crucial Factors Affecting Poverty and Inequality in ASEAN: A Case Study of Cambodia, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand. Icore, 5(1).
Saputra, D. E., & Pujiyono, A. (2021). Determinan Profitabilias PT. Bank Panin Dubai Syariah Tbk Periode 2013-2017 Menggunakan Metode ARDL-ECM. Diponegoro Journal of Islamic Economics and Business (DJIEB), 1(2), 76–90. https://ejournal2.undip.ac.id/index.php/djieb/article/view/13585/6858
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Siregar, E. S., Batubara, I., & Siregar, E. S. (2022). The Effect of Unemployment on Poverty In Mandailing Natal. Adpebi International Journal of Multidisciplinary Sciences, 1(1), 120–125.
Sugema, I. (2012). dan Implikasinya pada Perekonomian Indonesia th Global Financial Crisis and Its Implications on Indonesian Economy). Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia (JIPI), Desember, 17(3), 145–152.
Sumner, A., Hoy, C., & Ortiz-Juarez, E. (2020). Estimates of the impact of COVID-19 on global poverty. WIDER Working Paper 2020/43. https://doi.org/10.35188/UNU-WIDER/2020/800-9
Susanto, R., & Pangesti, I. (2021). Pengaruh Inflasi Dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Terhadap Tingkat Kemiskinan Di Indonesia. JABE (Journal of Applied Business and Economic), 7(2), 271. https://doi.org/10.30998/jabe.v7i2.7653
Tri Nugraha, H., Muchtar, M., & Sihombing, P. R. (2023). Pandangan Model Dua-Sektor Lewis dan Model Solow terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia. Ecoplan, 6(1), 70–77. https://doi.org/10.20527/ecoplan.v6i1.632
Yusrya, N. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Pdb, Jumlah Penduduk Dan Pengangguran Terhadap Kemiskinan Di Indonesia Tahun 1997-2020. SENTRI: Jurnal Riset Ilmiah, 2(4), 1017–1028. https://doi.org/10.55681/sentri.v2i4.699
Akhter, N., & Islam, M. K. (2019). The Impact of Migration and Migrant Remittances on Household Poverty in Bangladesh. Asian Development Perspectives, 10(1), 43–59.
Arapi-Gjini, A., Möllers, J., & Herzfeld, T. (2020). Measuring Dynamic Effects of Remittances on Poverty and Inequality with Evidence from Kosovo. Eastern European Economics, 58(4), 283–308. https://doi.org/10.1080/00128775.2020.1720517
Arifin, J. (2020). Budaya Kemiskinan Dalam Penanggulangan Kemiskinan Di Indonesia. Sosio Informa, 6(2). https://doi.org/10.33007/inf.v6i2.2372
Ascarya. (2015). Determining the Real Causes of Financial Crisis in Islamic Economic Perspective: ANP Approach. Tazkia Islamic Finance and Business Review, 9(2), 109–127.
Booth, A. (1996). The Effect of Price and Market Reform on the Poverty Situation of Rural Communities and Firm Families. Economic and Social Commision for Asia and Pacific.
Cendanawangi, E., Hariadi, S., & Ariani, M. (2020). Dan Ketimpangan Pendapatan Terhadap Kemiskinan Di Indonesia Periode 1987 ‐ 2017. Calyptra, 8(2), 74–87.
Fadillah, A. (2021). MACRO ECONOMY AND POVERTY REDUCTION IN INDONESIA (Analysis of Economic Growth Capability and Macroeconomic Indicators in PovertyReduction in Indonesia). Islamic Science, Culture, and Social Studies, 1(2), 186–203. https://doi.org/10.53754/iscs
Firlana, H., & Sri Rahayu Mastur, A. (2023). Survival Strategies, Remittance Management Models, and Micro Businesses of Migrant Worker Families: a Literature Review. Journal of Administration and International Development, 3(1), 77–91. https://doi.org/10.52617/jaid.v3i1.459
Hilmi, Marumu, M. N. H. D., Ramlawati, & Peuru, C. D. (2022). Pengaruh Jumlah Penduduk Dan Pengangguran Terhadap Tingkat Kemiskinan Di Kabupaten Tolitoli. Growth: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Pembangunan, 1(1), 20–27.
Idrissi, B. I., & Kawkaba, S. (2023). The Impact of International Remittances on Poverty: Evidence From The Southern and Eastern Mediterranean Countries. Migration and Diversity, 2(2), 203–220. https://doi.org/10.33182/md.v2i2.2876
Irawati, M., & Pakereng, M. A. I. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Jumlah Pengangguran Terhadap Jumlah Kemiskinan Menggunakan Metode Regresi Linier (Studi Kasus: Kota Salatiga). Jurnal EMT KITA, 7(2), 401–408. https://doi.org/10.35870/emt.v7i2.1013
Ishak, R. A., Zakaria, J., & Arifin, M. (2020). Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Pendidikan dan Pengangguran Terhadap Tingkat Kemiskinan di Kota Makassar. PARADOKS : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 3(2), 41–53. https://doi.org/10.33096/paradoks.v3i2.463
Ismanto Hadi Santoso. (2012). Dampak Krisis Ekonomi Terhadap Kinerja Ekonomi Nasional Dan Kemiskinan. Equilibrium, 10(1), 73.
Kiray, P., Walewangko, & Masloman, I. (2023). Pengaruh Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) dan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) terhadap Tingkat Kemiskinan di Kabupaten Toraja Utara. Jurnal Berkala Ilmiah Efisiensi, 23(7), 73–84.
Kumar, B. (2019). Remittances, Poverty and Welfare: Evidence from Cumilla, Bangladesh. American Journal of Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery, 4(1), 46. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajdmkd.20190401.17
Leasiwal, T., C. (2022). Remittances, Poverty, and Welfare: Evidence from Cumilla, Bangladesh. American Journal of Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery, 4(1), 46. https://doi.org./10.2478/jeb-2019-0018
Loxha, A. (2019). Do remittances reduce poverty in kosovo?- A counterfactual analysis. South East European Journal of Economics and Business, 14(2), 117–132. https://doi.org/10.2478/jeb-2019-0018
Lucas, R. E. B., & Stark, O. (1985). This content downloaded from 139.184.014.159 on February 24. Journal of Political Economy, 93(5), 901–918. http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/t-and-c
Mardiatillah, R., Panorama, M., & Maftukhatusolikhah, M. (2021). Pengaruh Pengangguran dan Inflasi terhadap Tingkat Kemiskinan di Sumatera Selatan Tahun 2015-2019. Jurnal Intelektualita: Keislaman, Sosial Dan Sains, 10(2), 365–370. https://doi.org/10.19109/intelektualita.v10i2.8825
Mawardi, R. A., & Pratama, M. R. (2023). Peran Social Enterprise sebagai Inovasi Pengentasan Kemiskinan di Indonesia. Jurnal Studi Inovasi, 3(1), 31–42. https://doi.org/10.52000/jsi.v3i1.130
Mehedintu, A., Soava, G., & Sterpu, M. (2019). The effect of remittances on poverty in the emerging countries of the European Union. Sustainability (Switzerland), 11(12), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.3390/SU11123265
Misdawati, M., & Siregar, S. (2020). Pengaruh Penerimaan Remitansi Terhadap Pengentasan Kemiskinan Di Indonesia. Ecoplan : Journal of Economics and Development Studies, 3(1), 48–54. https://doi.org/10.20527/ecoplan.v3i1.65
Purnomo, S. D. (2021). Analysis of Labor Absorption in Central Java Province. Ekonomis: Journal of Economics and Business, 5(1), 240. https://doi.org/10.33087/ekonomis.v5i1.311
Rachman, S. N., Suharno, S., & Badriah, L. S. (2020). The Crucial Factors Affecting Poverty and Inequality in ASEAN: A Case Study of Cambodia, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand. Icore, 5(1).
Saputra, D. E., & Pujiyono, A. (2021). Determinan Profitabilias PT. Bank Panin Dubai Syariah Tbk Periode 2013-2017 Menggunakan Metode ARDL-ECM. Diponegoro Journal of Islamic Economics and Business (DJIEB), 1(2), 76–90. https://ejournal2.undip.ac.id/index.php/djieb/article/view/13585/6858
Setyadi, S., & Indriyani, L. (2021). Dampak Pandemi Covid-19 Terhadap Peningkatan Anak. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Kebijakan Publik, 4, 1–11. https://spektrumonline.com/2020/11/11/dampak-pandemi-covid-19-multidimensi/
Siregar, E. S., Batubara, I., & Siregar, E. S. (2022). The Effect of Unemployment on Poverty In Mandailing Natal. Adpebi International Journal of Multidisciplinary Sciences, 1(1), 120–125.
Sugema, I. (2012). dan Implikasinya pada Perekonomian Indonesia th Global Financial Crisis and Its Implications on Indonesian Economy). Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia (JIPI), Desember, 17(3), 145–152.
Sumner, A., Hoy, C., & Ortiz-Juarez, E. (2020). Estimates of the impact of COVID-19 on global poverty. WIDER Working Paper 2020/43. https://doi.org/10.35188/UNU-WIDER/2020/800-9
Susanto, R., & Pangesti, I. (2021). Pengaruh Inflasi Dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Terhadap Tingkat Kemiskinan Di Indonesia. JABE (Journal of Applied Business and Economic), 7(2), 271. https://doi.org/10.30998/jabe.v7i2.7653
Tri Nugraha, H., Muchtar, M., & Sihombing, P. R. (2023). Pandangan Model Dua-Sektor Lewis dan Model Solow terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia. Ecoplan, 6(1), 70–77. https://doi.org/10.20527/ecoplan.v6i1.632
Yusrya, N. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Pdb, Jumlah Penduduk Dan Pengangguran Terhadap Kemiskinan Di Indonesia Tahun 1997-2020. SENTRI: Jurnal Riset Ilmiah, 2(4), 1017–1028. https://doi.org/10.55681/sentri.v2i4.699
Published
2024-03-22
How to Cite
Muslihatinningsih, F., Hadi, S., & Istiyani, N. (2024). DO REMITANCES REDUCE POVERTY IN INDONESIA? AUTOREGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTION LAG APPROACH. JAE (JURNAL AKUNTANSI DAN EKONOMI), 9(1), 94-104. https://doi.org/10.29407/jae.v9i1.22249
Section
Volume 9 No. 1 Tahun 2024
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